Who will be next to go?

22 Sep 2008 by Mark Caswell

Last week BA’s
chief Willie Walsh declared that the aviation industry is facing a “deeper, more protracted and fundamental crisis” than 9/11 or the
Gulf War. As more and more airlines feel the pinch, bookies are taking bets on
which carrier will be next to go.

A look at shows that,
unsurprisingly, bets have been suspended on troubled Italian airline Alitalia.
This leaves Flyglobespan as favourites at 9-4, with Spanish carrier Spanair
trading at 4-1, Air Berlin
at 8-1, Finnair at 10-1, and SkyEurope at 12-1.

Further down the list you can get 33-1 on
United Airlines, which was recently hit by false rumours that it had again gone
into Chapter 11 (the rumour turned out to be an old newspaper report from 2002
that had been republished in error). Bmi and its low-cost subsidiary Bmibaby
can be had at 66-1 and 40-1 repectively, while Easyjet and Ryanair are looking
relatively safe at 100-1, as are the big boys of BA, Air France and

For those who like to take a punt,
is offering odds of 500-1 on Vatican Airlines going under, while for an
unlikely 1000-1 you can pin your hopes on the President’s Air Force One going

Odds were taken at 1500 on Tuesday
September 23, and apply to the next airline to go into official administration
and cease operating (ground all its fleet). It does not include Alitalia, and does
not include service/flights being ‘phased out’ before merging with another

For more information visit

Report by Mark Caswell

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