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I don’t think Lufthansa will leave *A, it’s one of the founding airlines and one of the most important carriers. I don’t think Cathay will leave OW either though if anyone was to leave an alliance it’s more likely to be them. That said I think SIA would have something to say and may not be too happy.

It’s quite usual to see code shares amongst members of rival alliances and I suspect it’s no more than that. However, I would have thought there would be more cooperation between LH and SIA as more likely partners, so…………..?