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I disagree Martyn, the military always are (need to be) secretive when it involves loss of life especially until the facts are known. Just because it is a 747 is IMO immaterial, it could have been a Galaxy or Hercules – any aircraft in a war zone would be deemed a target.

Given the stresses & angles are greatest during take-off, the speculation that the cargo moved causing catastrophic imbalance appears plausible at this time.